🟠 Quinshon Judkins has averaged 78 rush YPG, 4.8 YPC, 0.83 rush TD/Gm, and 5.2 yards per target this year. MEANWHILE, after taking the starting job in his rookie year, Nick Chubb averaged: 82 rush YPG, 4.7 YPC, 0.6 rush TD/Gm, 5.3 yards per target. And just for good measure, Judkins had all of his 84 rushing yards last week against Miami come after contact.

🎖 Among seventh-round rookie running backs who have played at least seven games, Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the third-best PPR PPG in history.

🐈‍⬛ Tetairoa McMillan ranks tied 14th in the NFL in targets, 22nd in receptions, and is the WR36 in PPG.

Matthew Golden hasn’t had a breakout just yet, but solid 1.93 YPRR. He’s on pace for just over 700 receiving yards. 🧀

🐴 Tyler Warren has the most receiving yards and 20+ yard receptions, third most targets, and receptions among NFL tight ends. Tyler Warren has the third-best fantasy start of any rookie tight end since 1970, behind only Raymond Chester and Brock Bowers.

⚡ In Week 6, Orande Gadsden’s 162 yards were the fourth-highest single-game total of any rookie TE in NFL history. Since his debut in Week 3, he’s the TE12 in PPG and leads tight ends in yards in that time.

If you are wondering how bad the Raiders’ O-line is right now, Ashton Jeanty is facing a stacked box at the second-lowest rate in the league and still has only 1.3 YBC/Att. That might sound like a Jeanty problem, but he leads the league in broken tackles and is tied for 7th in most 10+ yard runs. ☠

🐴 The Titans are one of the worst rushing defenses in the league, allowing 0.81 fantasy points per rush, third-highest in the league. Only Buffalo and the Chargers are worse. All of this to say you weren’t sitting Jonathan Taylor, but it’s just a reminder of how good a spot he’s in.

Alec Pierce has been sneaky good this season with 2.28 YPRR. He’s not been putting up a ton of points for fantasy, but the potential is there. Against the Titans in Week 3, he caught four passes for 67 yards.

🟠 Not to put a dampener on the Judkins hype train, but he has a tough matchup this week against New England. The Patriots have allowed just 0.41 points per rush, and Judkins has not been involved much in the passing game to this point. Cleveland is over a touchdown underdog in this game, and that could mean more Jerome Ford in this contest, making him a deep league sleeper.

🇺🇸 While we’re on the subject, Rhamondre Stevenson might be in your lineup out of pure necessity, but don’t expect much. His two good games came against Miami and Tennessee, both top-tier rushing matchups for RBs. In his other five games, he has a high of 38 rushing yards and four games under 20 rushing yards. Cleveland has been putting the clamps on running backs, allowing the fewest PPG to RBs in the NFL.

🟠 Dallas is allowing receivers 2.3 PPR points per target, the most in the NFL. Doing some simple math, Courtland Sutton averages about 7 targets a game and 7×2.3 is about 16 PPR points. Is that a bit simplistic for a projection? Yes. Is he still in a smash spot in a game that has the highest Vegas projected total on the slate? Also yes. 🔵

🏴‍☠ If you’re looking for a sleeper this week, Tez Johnson is your man. The tiny speedster is the WR32 in PPG in Weeks 5-7 on a 15% target share and Mike Evans is now out. If you need to go even deeper, Sterling Shepherd is right behind Johnson with a 14% target share and has more receptions, but he’s more of a PPR floor play given his targets are closer to the line of scrimmage.

Wanna go even crazier? Cade Otton has a 19% target share in that same span. He’s only been the TE15 in PPG in that time, but with six teams on bye, you might not have a better option. 🔴

⛪ Alvin Kamara played a season-high snap share in Week 7 with Kendre Miller leaving the game with a season-ending ACL injury. Devin Neal should be picked up as the primary option behind Kamara, but Kamara should still be a decent PPR option this week, even if his rushing isn’t there against the Tampa Bay defense. P.S., he’s also 2 TD below expectation based on his red zone usage.

🐬 Atlanta is top-10 in interceptions, allowing the second-fewest points to QBs, third-fewest points to WRs, and the worst matchup for TEs. In short, don’t start a Dolphin this week unless you have to. At least they are an average matchup for RBs, so at least De’Von Achane should be ok. But Tua Tagovailoa is off limits unless you’re in a superflex league. Even then, you might have better options.

Meanwhile, I’m starting pretty much any Falcon I have against Miami. Imagine saying that two or three years ago.

🦅 AJ Brown has not practiced each of the last two days as of Thursday night. If he sits, Devonta Smith becomes interesting. He’s been below 10 PPR points four times this year, but has three games of 19+ and one of more than 30.

🐈‍⬛ The Bills are giving up 0.92 yards per rush attempt, the most in the NFL. Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard could find themselves in a negative game script, but both are capable pass catchers, so unless HC Dave Canales decides to favor one over the other should the game go sideways, I still expect them to split work. Neither are great options, but they are both flex-worthy.

The Bears are 6.5-point underdogs this week, putting Caleb Williams in the spotlight as the man who will need to lead Chicago to the upset win. The Ravens’ secondary is beat up, and they are a top-5 matchup for QBs and WRs. Yes, Williams was awful last week, but he is a decent option this week.