Hello everyone! This is going to be a shorter newsletter. I had things going on both Thursday and Friday night, as well as then coming down with something on Friday, so my energy in the evening when I could write was sapped away. It’s been rough! But I still want to get some stuff out to you guys, and once again, thank you all for understanding.

📼 Week 10 Rewind and Stats to Know

  • Rushing leaders from Week 10:

    • Jonathan Taylor - 244

    • De’Von Achane - 174

    • Jonathan Taylor after contact - 155

    • TreVeyon Henderson - 147

  • In the last three weeks, Nico Collins has been on a 204-target and 1300-yard pace.

Week 11 Preview

  • 🐈‍⬛ Atlanta is one of the most advantageous matchups for running backs this season, and Rico Dowdle has shown he can take advantage of those opportunities. His two 200-yard games came against Dallas and Miami, who have given up fewer yards on average than Atlanta.

  • On the flip side, Drake London is in a great spot as well. Not only because Michael Penix can’t physically get the ball to anyone else, or when he does, they drop it. London has been the only consistent option for Penix, and the Panthers have been top-10 in passing yards allowed in the last three weeks. 🔴

  • 🏴‍☠ I’m very much looking forward to the matchup between Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield this Sunday. Not that you weren’t starting both of them, unless you have both of them and can only start one. But both can put their team on their backs and make things happen. The Bills need to win to keep pace with New England, and Tampa Bay is looking for a bounce-back after losing to New England. It’s gonna be a fun matchup between the 2018 NFL QB Draft class. 🦬

  • Everyone is starting Emeka Egbuka, but I also like Cade Otton and Tez Johnson. On the Bills’ side of the ball, the only receiver I want to start is Khalil Shakir. Josh Allen threw the ball 39 times last week, and 11 different Bills caught a pass. That’s crazy. Granted, Shakir and Keon Coleman had 17 of those targets, but even Coleman has been very unreliable this season.

  • One final note on Coleman, since going for 112 yards in Week 1, he hasn’t had a 50-yard game, and he’s had six games at or below 30 yards. 🥶

  • Nico Collins had his best game of the season against the Jaguars last week, and now faces the hapless Titans. He went 4 for 79 against Tennessee earlier this season, and there’s no reason he can’t repeat or do better this time around.

  • I would love to say Woody Marks is in for a great game, but I frankly don’t know. He’s had success in higher scoring games, but I doubt this will be that. And we’ve seen him have decent games then fade into the background the following week. However, his first real “breakout” moment came against Tennessee when the Texans shut them out, and Marks had nearly 120 scrimmage yards and two scores. Should the Texans blow out the Titans again, it’s likely we see Marks have a nice workload. 🐮

  • 🟡 This sounds a bit crazy, but once you realize they play Cincinnati, you know to start your Steelers. Jaylen Warren is a lock. I can easily be talked into DK Metcalf, Calvin Austin, and Roman Wilson this week. Finding the correct tight end to start in the best matchup for tight ends in the NFL will be tricky. Currently, Jonnu Smith leads Steelers TEs in targets, but based on the last month, I’d have to lean towards Pat Friermuth, who has been doing more with his receptions than Smith and Darnell Washington.

  • Justin Jefferson has been the WR30 in PPG in the last month, but that’s largely due to QB play rather than him slowing down. First, he played with an injured Carson Wentz, and now he has effectively a rookie in JJ McCarthy throwing the rock. But his target share is still there, and he faces Chicago, whom he scored against back in Week 1. 🟣

  • 🔵 With Darius Slayton out and Jameis Winston in, I fully expect Wan’Dale Robinson and Theo Johnson to get all the targets they can handle. Green Bay isn’t an easy matchup; we saw that defense limit the Eagles to 10, but we’ve also seen Green Bay give up points. In PPR formats, they’re worth a start.

  • He got off to a slow start, but since Week 5, Ladd McConkey is the WR9 in PPG. Jacksonville just allowed Houston to come back from a 29-10 deficit in the final quarter, and they did that without having Justin Herbert at quarterback. The only other Charger I’m willing to start in the passing game outside of deep leagues/desperation is Oronde Gadsden. Quentin Johnson is the WR49 in PPG since Gadsden’s breakout in Week 6, and Keenan Allen is just a depth piece at this point.

  • With Brock Purdy and Ricky Pearsall back in action, it will be interesting to see how this impacts Jauan Jennings and George Kittle. Jennings has been productive in the last month as the 49ers’ top WR, and Kittle has been up and down since returning from injury. In my mind, they are all worth starting, but just keep a close eye on their usage.

  • 🐴 Courtland Sutton has had 30 or fewer yards in three of his last five games, but I don’t think the fault is on him as much as it is on Bo Nix. Nix has been erratic this season and has lacked accuracy. Interestingly, while his completion percentage has dropped from 66% to 60%, his touchdown rate, interception rate, and success rate are virtually identical from last season. Against the surging Chiefs, it’s fine to sit Sutton if you have a better option, but RJ Harvey is someone I would be looking to insert into my RB2/Flex spot.

That’s going to do it for today. Thanks for stopping by, and I will see you again soon!

Reply

or to participate

Keep Reading

No posts found