Hello everyone! This week has been a bit crazy for me and my family, my wife and I just welcomed our newest addition to the world! It’s been a fun, yet tiresome, last few days, and while I’ve been able to work on some stuff behind the scenes, I either haven’t been able to or haven't had the energy to sit and write a full-on, well-researched article like I know you all deserve.

With that said, I didn’t want to leave you hanging. I know the prospect profiles have been fun, so I thought I would send you guys some of the prospect previews. If you want to just hit the highlights, then feel free to check out the graphics. But if you want a more detailed explanation, I’ll be giving that to you below. 😉

I think I’ve said this before, so I apologize before saying it again. Prospecting is fun because there’s no one way of doing it. I love working with data, but my model is not the same as another guy’s you’ll find down the fantasy football street. Others are film grinders and are incredibly good at their job and love watching film, but even they will weigh and see things differently.

I’ve heard Price mentioned as the RB2 of the class by some. I’m not there personally. For sure, he shared the backfield with Jeremiyah Love, and that’s going to siphon a lot of work from him. That needs to be taken into account. However, no one with his sort of production profile (never a workhorse, barely involved in the passing game) has been drafted in the first three rounds since 2018. Roschon Johnson is the closest thing I’ve got in my database of someone matching his profile, and he was a Round 4 player. Sanders was at 0.37 YTPA and 1.57 YPTP, both above or well above Price.

While the production comps are one thing, he’s actually in decent company for his prospect score, giving me hope that this can work out. There are 10 running backs in my database with an S240 Score within 5± points of his. Four have averaged at least 10+ PPR PPG in their careers, with five giving us at least one 11+ PPG season (such as Cam Skattebo, Tony Pollard, and Michael Carter). Two others, Byashul Tuten and Ray Davis, could give us those numbers or have flashed upside when given the opportunity.

The reason I have DJ Moore listed first in the list of comps is not that I think he is better than Chase, no. It’s because he’s the closest “all-encompassing” comp to Tyson. Tyson has the exact same YTPA as Chase and is a couple of percentage points higher in best season touchdown rate. But Chase also had several receiving teammates drafted in the NFL (notably Justin Jefferson). Tyson and Moore did not, and he’s also within a point of Moore’s prospect score; and that’s why I ultimately have Moore as the closer comp.

To be clear, I do not count Cam Skattebo as a relevant “teammate” for wide receivers in the model. Skattebo and Tyson were the offense for ASU in 2024, but I currently don’t count pass-catching backs as “receiver teammates” in the model. Overall, Tyson looks great from a production standpoint, but I want to throw out one thing.

Humor me for a moment. I don’t think this is predictive; it’s just something I noticed while looking at Tyson. Since 2018, there have been seven receivers taken in the first round of the NFL Draft who did not have a relevant teammate drafted to the NFL. Those seven were DJ Moore, Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Treylon Burks, Jahan Dotson, Jalon Reagor, and Xavier Legette. Had you in the first half, didn’t I?

Plenty of people I trust absolutely love Tyson, and I and the model like him a lot as well. 170 is a fine score. He broke out in year one, and he has nice size, production profile, and draft capital. What’s not to like?

That’s all I have for now! I’m working on compiling these profiles into a resource for you guys that will hopefully come out once the combine has wrapped up, well in time to prepare you for rookie drafts ahead of the NFL Draft. Stay tuned for more info on that!