🐴 Through two weeks, our tight ends’ yardage leader is Tyler Warren. The target's leader is Juwan Johnson. And the reception’s leader is Jake Ferguson, just like we all predicted. And Davis Allen has as many touchdowns as Mark Andrews has receptions.

Chris Olave is tied with former college teammate Jaxon Smith-Njigba in total targets with 23, but Olave has over 100 fewer receiving yards and is tied for 30th among WRs in yards with 108. ⛪

Remember how DK Metcalf wasn’t getting much downfield work? That continued in Week 2. His route chart on NGS shows as much.

After Week 2, Zach Charbonnet is the least efficient runner in the NFL per NGS. Kenneth Walker is the 11th most efficient. In Week 1, Walker was the least efficient runner, and Charbonnet was more middle-of-the-pack. Both of these guys are likely to have their weeks; it’s finding out which week is whose that will be the big issue for fantasy managers. I’ll discuss them more in a moment. 😉

Keep the faith with Garrett Wilson. It’s not been pretty, but he’s getting a crazy 53% of his team’s air yards. Tyrod Taylor is fairly similar to Justin Fields in play style, and hopefully will be a more consistent passer (though I don’t think he brings the same rushing upside). Wilson should continue to see a large market share of the Jets’ passing game.

🟡 Through two weeks, DK Metcalf has outpaced his expected YAC/R more than anyone else in the league. He’s been expected to get about 4.9 YAC/R, but he’s been getting 11.1. That 6.2 YAC/R gap is miles ahead of the second-place player, Jameson Williams, at 3.8. I don’t like to bank on uber-efficiency, but the Patriots have allowed the third most YAC in the NFL through two weeks. Maybe DK can keep things going against the Patriots.

On the flip side of that same matchup, I do like the Patriots DST here, and I’m not a big fan of Aaron Rodgers, especially if Christian Gonzalez plays. The Patriots have a league-leading 9 sacks in two games, and Rodgers has been pressured on 31% of his drop-backs. 🇺🇸

⚔ It’s not gonna feel great, but I think Carson Wentz is a viable streamer this week against Cincinnati. Somehow, the Bengals’ secondary has managed four picks this season, but that doesn’t deter me from playing Wentz against a team that’s given up the fifth most passing yards and touchdowns. Kevin O’Connell has shown the ability to make his offense work regardless of who is behind center, and Wentz has some great weapons to work with as well. 🟣

Tony Pollard should get the bellcow role in Tennessee for at least another week, and while that makes it startable, it doesn’t mean I like it. Pollard isn’t being used in the receiving game, having only a single catch this season. The Titans’ lack of offensive firepower through two weeks also concerns me against a decent Colts defense in a divisional matchup. He’s an RB3 at best.

🔥 If you need a deep sleeper and stash, Elic Ayomanor is a name I like. He’s had a consistent target share through two weeks and was the beneficiary of Cam Ward’s lone touchdown in Week 2. The rookie scored well pre-NFL Draft in my S240 model that I use for prospecting, but his score took a hit after he fell to Day 3. However, that fall is supposedly due to health concerns. The Titans will need to keep up with the Colts, and Ayomanor stands to benefit as the WR2.

🦅 The Eagles may be challenged and forced to throw this week against the Rams, who have weapons on offense unlike the Chiefs, and have a decent defense, unlike the Cowboys. I can’t say I’m betting on it 100%, but I do think it’s likely we will finally see AJ Brown and Devonta Smith get 6-7 targets each for some chunk gains.

🐏 PS: Start Puka Nacua and Davante Adams, as if I needed to tell you. They have a combined 68% target share in 2025.

🐈‍⬛ I want to get one thing clear, you are starting Tet McMillan this week unless your WR lineup is absolutely stacked. He may not have a touchdown yet, but he is the Carolina offense. However, I do want to note that Atlanta has made a significant turnaround to start 2025, holding opposing offenses to the second-fewest passing yards in the NFL, a notable improvement from 2024, when they gave up the 12th most.

🐦 New Orleans has yet to allow a rushing touchdown to a running back this season. However, they are allowing a fairly generous 4.2 YPC. More importantly, the Saints have given up 13 receptions and two receiving touchdowns to running backs through two weeks. Zach Charbonnet should continue to see a decent amount of work on the ground, but Kenneth Walker could benefit from the receiving work.

🐻 I wrote this up last week about the Bears and Lions: “What if the marriage of Ben Johnson and the Lions’ weapons was the perfect one, and he doesn’t have the personnel in Chicago to make it work? Is Caleb Williams that great or just another ‘good but not what was promised’ guy?…One of these teams is going to be 0-2 after this week. And there will be a lot of questions surrounding whoever loses.” The Bears lost in blowout fashion, and Ben Johnson has been getting onto his team about effort all week. There was little to no effort to get Colston Loveland and Luther Burden into the game. Is that due to gameplan? Inexperience? Lack of effort on their part? We don’t know. But for now, they are firmly off of fantasy radars. 🐻

However, against the Cowboys this week, I’d advise you to start Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore. The Cowboys have allowed the most fantasy points to WRs in the NFL, and that’s after the Eagles basically didn’t throw to their wideouts in Week 1.

🧀 The two best run defenses in 2025, the Cleveland Browns and the Green Bay Packers, square off on Sunday. I do think Josh Jacobs will be fine, thanks to his offense being great. But I’m scared of starting any of the Quinshon Judkins, Jerome Ford, and Dylan Sampson trio. One saving grace for the Browns is that Green Bay has allowed 16 receptions to running backs, the third most in the NFL. 🟠

I would also like to nominate the Seahawks’ defense against New Orleans this week. Spencer Rattler has been intriguing, to me at least, so far in 2025 by keeping his mistakes down. But Seattle just put the clamps on a Pittsburgh team that scored more than 30 on the Jets two weeks ago. They’re generating pressure at the highest rate in the NFL. They’ve not converted many of those pressures into sacks, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they rack up a couple along with a turnover against Rattler.